Betsy Abrams, Senior Meteorologist
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel
Powerful Hurricane Kenna is moving northeast into Mexico. Winds are down to 145 mph, as the eye has become obscured. Torrential rains, flooding, and mudslides are a major hazard with Kenna. Hurricane warnings remain posted from La Fortuna to Mazatlan with tropical storm warnings from La Fortuna to Manzanillo. High-level moisture is streaming over east Texas, adding more fuel to all the showers and storms that have been flooding the area. Eventually Kenna will track over southeast Texas. The latest advisory has the remains of Kenna nearing the lower Rio Grande by 7 AM Saturday. Tropical Depression Lowell is still drifting along with 35-mph winds over the open waters well between Baja California and Hawaii. Tropical Depression 3-C is well south of Hawaii slowly drifting north. It could become a tropical storm later today or tomorrow. There are some showers and thunderstorms in the SW Caribbean, but the area is poorly organized and any development will be slow. There is quite a cluster of thunderstorms near 50W associated with a tropical wave, upper winds appear unfavorable for development at the moment.
HURRICANE KENNA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 12A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM PDT THU OCT 24 2002
...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE KENNA BEGINNING TURN TOWARD THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO...
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN SOUTHWARD TO LA FORTUNA...INCLUDING ISLAS MARIAS. A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF LA FORTUNA TO MANZANILLO. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
INTERESTS ALONG THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF KENNA.
AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KENNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.4 WEST OR ABOUT 230 MILES... 370 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO.
KENNA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH... 18 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...
THE CENTER OF KENNA IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE COAST IN THE WARNING AREA TOMORROW AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS ALONG THE COAST WILL BEGIN TO DETERIORATE WELL IN ADVANCE OF THE TIME OF LANDFALL.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH...260 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES KENNA A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...HOWEVER...KENNA IS EXPECTED TO BE AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS HURRICANE AT LANDFALL.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES... 75 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 915 MB...27.02 INCHES.
RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR THE PATH OF KENNA. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE EXPECTED NEAR AND TO THE SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.
REPEATING THE 5 PM PDT POSITION...18.3 N...108.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 11 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...160 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 915 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
THE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 PM PDT.
FORECASTER BEVEN
"Hurricane Kenna came ashore middle to late morning(Friday) near San Blas, Mexico. Already rapidly weakening from it's height as a category 5. . ." I have heard that sensitives can pick up on hurricanes and tornadoes and if this is what "I heard" Thurs night to early Friday am- then I guess, it is the first one I have heard coming - I gotta say, one of those right ears tones was real odd-like a deaf sound to it, is all I can describe. And well, yes, it was on the west coast. It was noted to be the worst in many decades.
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/wcom/20021026/we_wcom/weakening_kenna_over_mexico&cid=658
Weakening Kenna over Mexico
Fri Oct 25, 8:35 PM ET
James Wilson, Senior Meteorologist
Tropical Update, The Weather Channel
Kenna came ashore middle to late morning near San Blas, Mexico. Already rapidly weakening from its height as a category 5, Kenna will now be destroyed by the mountains, but its moisture will feed into heavy thunderstorms and rains in south Texas Saturday. Through the overnight hours, heavy 5-to-8-inch rains will continue over the mountains of Mexico despite its quick movement to the northeast. Tropical Depression Lowell is still drifting along with 35-mph winds over the open waters well between Baja California and Hawaii. Tropical Depression 3-C is well south of Hawaii slowly drifting north. There are some showers and thunderstorms in the SW Caribbean, but the area is poorly organized and any development will be slow. There is quite a cluster of thunderstorms near 50W associated with a tropical wave, upper winds appear unfavorable for development at the moment. The WPAC is quiet. A TC is trying to develop along the east coast of India near Madras.