SOLAR WEATHER
and some interesting space stuff

2010

compiled by Dee Finney

MARCH - 2010

PAGE 3

updated  -   3-31-10

THIS COMPILATION IS BEING DONE IN HONOR OF KENT STEADMAN
OF  www.cyberspaceorbit.com  who left his earthly abode in 2008

2008 SOLAR WEATHER

2009 SOLAR WEATHER
JANUARY - FEBRUARY - MARCH - APRIL - MAY  - JUNE - JULY -
AUGUST - SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER - NOVEMBER - DECEMBER

2010 SOLAR WEATHER

JANUARY - FEBRUARY - MARCH - APRIL - MAY  - JUNE - JULY -

AUGUST - SEPTEMBER - OCTOBER - NOVEMBER - DECEMBER

On January 17, there were 1092 potentially hazardous asteroids.
On February 17, there were 1100 potentially hazardous asteroids.
NOTE:  These are not 'new' asteroids'  merely newly discovered by people and their new telescopes.
On March 24, there were 1110 potentially hazardous asteroids.


Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.
1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

On February 4, 2010 there were 1094 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Jan. 2010 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2010 AL2
Jan. 11
11.5 LD
20
23 m
24761 Ahau
Jan. 11
70.8 LD
16
1.4 km
2000 YH66
Jan. 12
69.5 LD
17
1.1 km
2010 AL30
Jan. 13
0.3 LD
14
18 m
2010 AG3
Jan. 19
8.9 LD
21
14 m
2010 AN61
Jan. 19
8.0 LD
20
17 m
2010 AF40
Jan. 21
2.3 LD
16
43 m
2010 BC
Jan. 24
7.6 LD
16
160 m
2010 BU2
Jan. 27
6.4 LD
17
52 m
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
 
On February 21, 2010 there were 1103 potentially hazardous asteroids.
Feb. 2010 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2009 UN3
Feb. 9
14.3 LD
12
1.2 km
2010 CK19
Feb. 17
0.9 LD
17
11 m
2001 FD58
Feb. 19
58.5 LD
17
0.9 km
2010 CJ18
Feb. 19
3.3 LD
18
20 m
2002 EZ11
Feb. 24
77.5 LD
18
1.0 km
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach

Near-Earth Asteroids
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.

On March 5, 2010 there were 1110
 potentially hazardous asteroids.

March 2010 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2001 PT9
March 3
11.1 LD
15
305 m
4486 Mithra
March 12
73.5 LD
15
3.3 km
2001 FM129
March 13
44.1 LD
16
1.5 km
2010 FU9
March 18
1.5 LD
17
19 m
2010 EF43
March 18
5.0 LD
19
23 m
2010 FT
March 27
5.5 LD
20
33 m
2002 TE66
March 28
48.0 LD
15
940 m
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

 

 

 

 

 

 

TOWARD THE END OF TIME
IT'S THE DANGER OF THE SUN

THE RIDDLE OF THE STARS

NEW    A STAR NAMED HADES   NEW

Explore the Sunspot Cycle

 

 

 

3-31-10 -sunspot-1057 and 1059

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 400.0 km/sec
density: 3.1 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A5 2055 UT Mar31
24-hr: A6 0810 UT Mar31
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT


3-30-10 - sunspot 1057 and 1059

RADIO-ACTIVE SUNSPOT: Sunday in new Mexico, a startling roar issued from the loudspeaker of amateur astronomer Thomas Ashcraft's radio telescope. "It was sunspot 1057," he says. "All day long it had been producing small radio bursts around 21 MHz. Then, at 1813 UT, it let loose a big one. The burst only lasted a minute, but it saturated the radios." Click here to listen.

sunspot-radioactive-3-29-10

 

sunspot-radioactive-3-29-10
Photo credit: Larry Alvarez of Flower Mound, Texas

Mar. 29, 2010
Location:
Flower Mound, Texas, USA
Details:

The seeing conditions were unusually steady on the 28th and 29th and I was able to catch the small granules in whitelight around AR1057. It was a very impressive view, like a big super octopus on the sun. I took the image with a DMK ccd, Baader ND 3.8 film and a Baader continuum filter.

The sounds heard were a mix of Type III and Type V radio emissions. They're caused by beams of electrons shooting out of the sunspot into the sun's atmosphere overhead. Not all sunspots produce radio emissions, but AR1057 is definitely "radio-active." "I'll be listening for more bursts in the days ahead," says Ashcraft.

You can, too, using your own radio telescope. NASA's Radio JOVE program will sell you a kit and teach you how to become an amateur radio astronomer all for less than $200.

more images: from Eric Roel of Valle de Bravo, Mexico; from Phillip Jones of Frisco, Texas; from John Minnerath of Crowheart Wyoming; from Francisco A. Rodriguez of Cabreja Mountain Observatory, Canary Islands;

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 415.0 km/sec
density: 4.6 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A8 1840 UT Mar30
24-hr: B1 1240 UT Mar30
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT
3-29-10  sunspot 1057 and 1059

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 360.0 km/sec
density: 5.6 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2235 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A5 1705 UT Mar29
24-hr: B1 0050 UT Mar29
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2230 UT
 
3-28-10 - sunspot 1057 and 1059

RADIO-ACTIVE SUNSPOT: Yesterday in new Mexico, a startling roar issued from the loudspeaker of amateur astronomer Thomas Ashcraft's radio telescope. "It was sunspot 1057," he says. "All day long it had been producing small radio bursts around 21 MHz. Then, at 1813 UT, it let loose a big one. The burst only lasted a minute, but it saturated the radios." Click here to listen.

sunspot 1057
Photo credit: Rogerio Marcon of Campinas, Brazil [details]

The sounds you just heard were a mix of Type III and Type V radio emissions. They're caused by beams of electrons shooting out of the sunspot into the sun's atmosphere overhead. Not all sunspots produce radio emissions, but AR1057 is definitely "radio-active." "I'll be listening for more bursts in the days ahead," says Ashcraft.

You can, too, using your own radio telescope. NASA's Radio JOVE program will sell you a kit and teach you how to become an amateur radio astronomer all for less than $200.

more images: from Eric Roel of Valle de Bravo, Mexico; from Phillip Jones of Frisco, Texas; from John Minnerath of Crowheart Wyoming; from Francisco A. Rodriguez of Cabreja Mountain Observatory,

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 406.0 km/sec
density: 2.2 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A8 2010 UT Mar28
24-hr: B3 0335 UT Mar28
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

3-27-10  sunspot 1057

SUNSPOT CONJUNCTION: On Thursday in Cape Elizabeth, Maine, astrophotographer John Stetson and his son Peter observed a very rare event--a sunspot-space station conjunction:

sunspot 1057 conjunction
Photo details: 5-inch AP refractor, Baader solar filter, Luminera 2-0 camera

"We knew when to look thanks to a prediction from CalSky," says Stetson. "The International Space Station transited the solar disk in only 0.62 seconds. We managed to catch the station's silhouette just as it was passing sunspot 1057." Stetson has been photographing solar transits for years; he ranks this one as "the best yet."

As far as we know, this is the first time the ISS has been observed in conjunction with a big sunspot. Next up: How about a sunspot-space station eclipse? It is possible to anticipate such an event because CalSky shows sunspots in their transit prediction graphics. Astrophotographers, check the web site for opportunities.

more images: from Rogerio Marcon of Campinas-SP-Brasil; from Wouter Verhesen of Sittard. The Netherlands; from Alcaria Rego of Almada, Portugal; from Andy Devey of Barnsley, South Yorkshire, UK; from John C McConnell of Maghaberry Northern Ireland; from Gianfranco Meregalli of Milano Italy; from Monika Landy-Gyebnar of Veszprem, Hungary;


Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 414.5 km/sec
density: 3.3 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2344 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C2 1830 UT Mar27
24-hr: C2 1830 UT Mar27
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT
3-26-10 - sunspot 1057

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 420.3 km/sec
density: 1.2 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2344 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C1
2115 UT Mar26
24-hr: C1
2115 UT Mar26
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

NASA's Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer (WISE).

The creature designed and built WISE, NASA's Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer, to search for "dark" objects in space like brown dwarf stars, vast dust clouds, and Earth-approaching asteroids. WISE finds them by sensing their heat in the form of infrared light most other telescopes can't pick up.

"Our instrument is finding [dozens] of asteroids every day that were never detected before," says Ned Wright, principal investigator for WISE and a physicist at the University of California in Los Angeles. "WISE is very good at this kind of work."

Most of the asteroids WISE is finding are in the main asteroid belt between Mars and Jupiter, but a fraction of them are different—they're the kind of Earth-approaching asteroids that send shivers all the way down a Brontosaurus' spine.

"WISE has only been in orbit for about three months, but we've already found a handful of asteroids classified as 'potentially hazardous,' including one seen in 1996 but lost until re-observed by WISE. To be named 'potentially hazardous,' an asteroid's orbit has to pass within about 5 million miles of Earth's orbit. One of our discoveries' orbit will cross Earth's orbit less than 700,000 miles away."

see caption

Above: This blink comparison shows why infrared wavelengths are so good for asteroid hunting. It's a patch of sky in the constellation Taurus photographed at two different times by the infrared Spitzer Space Telescope. The two frames are correctly aligned; the objects are moving because they are asteroids. At thermal infrared wavelengths, most of the bright objects in the plane of the solar system are space rocks. [more]

WISE tracks each potentially hazardous near-Earth object (NEO) it finds every three hours for up to 30 hours and then produces a "short track" predicting where it will be for the next few weeks. The WISE team sends all of this information to the NASA-funded Minor Planet Center in Boston. They post it on a publicly available NEO confirmation page, where scientists and amateur astronomers alike can continue to track the asteroid.

The asteroid that is thought to have wiped out the dinosaurs was big--about 6 miles or 10 km in diameter. The chances of a similar hit in modern times are almost non-existent, but that doesn't mean we're out of the woods. Smaller asteroids are fairly common, and they could do damage, too, in the rare event of impacting the Earth. As recently as 1908, for instance, an asteroid some tens of meters across exploded over Tunguska, Russia, wiping out eight hundred square miles of remote forest.

see captionRight: The red dot in this image is the first near-Earth asteroid discovered by WISE. [full story]

"Regional damage from a small asteroid strike can be very serious indeed," says Wright. "We need to keep surveying the skies to find these NEOs and precisely measure their orbits. If we can find the really dangerous asteroids early enough, we might have time to figure out how to deal with them."

Many telescopes on Earth are already searching. Notable programs include LINEAR, the Catalina Sky Survey and others2. Working together over the years they have found more than a thousand potentially hazardous asteroids.

WISE's contribution to the total will be impressive. Between now and late October, when the mission is slated to end, Wright estimates the observatory will find a hundred thousand asteroids, mostly in the main belt, and hundreds of near Earth objects.


3-25-10  - sunspot 1057

http://videos.apnicommunity.com/Video,Item,2597915753.html  VIDEO OF SOMETHING STREAKING TOWARDS THE SUN

SUNSPOT 1057: New sunspot 1057 has almost doubled in area since it first appeared yesterday. With a pair of dark cores each larger than planet Earth, the growing active region is an easy target for amateur solar telescopes:

sunspot 3-27-10  - 1057

Rogerio Marcon took the picture on March 24th from his backyard observatory in Campinas, Brazil. The swirling magnetic fields evident in the image harbor energy for C-class eruptions. The active region has already hurled one coronal mass ejection (CME, movie) into space and more could be in the offing. Stay tuned.

more images: from Monika Landy-Gyebnar of Veszprem, Hungary; from John Minnerath of Crowheart, Wyoming; from Wouter Verhesen of Sittard, The Netherlands; from Pete Lawrence of Selsey, West Sussex, UK; from Peter Paice of Belfast, Northern Ireland; from Pavol Rapavy of Observatory Rimavska Sobota, Slovakia; from John C McConnell of Maghaberry Northern Ireland;



Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 413.6 km/sec
density: 1.2 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1 2240 UT Mar25
24-hr: B7 0430 UT Mar25
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT


3-24-10 - sunspt 1057 

EMERGING SUNSPOT 1057: New sunspot 1057 is big and beautiful, and it has already unleashed a coronal mass ejection (CME, movie). The cloud is not heading toward Earth but future CMEs could be as the sunspot turns to face our planet this week. Readers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor developments.

cme 1057-3-24-10

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 318.1 km/sec
density: 2.9 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1507 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1 1435 UT Mar24
24-hr: B1 0440 UT Mar24
explanation | more data

Updated: Today at: 1500 UT

3-23-10 - sunspot 1057  -1056 is gone

STARSCAPE: It's been a quiet day on the sun. But even a quiet day on a raging stellar inferno can take your breath away. Click on the image below to view a hundred billion sq. kilometers of local starscape:

Roger Marcon recorded this magnificent view on March 22nd from his backyard observatory in Campinas, Brazil. "I couldn't fit the whole thing in a single exposure," he says. "To cover the expanse, which includes sunspot 1056 on the left and a bushy magnetic filament on the right, I took ten pictures and stitched them together." His high-tech equipment: an off-the-shelf Coronado SolarMax40 filter and a 200mm (~8 inch) refracting telescope.

Forecasters of solar activity say tomorrow should be quiet, too. Sounds like a good day to photograph the sun.

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 282.2 km/sec
density: 1.0 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B5 1920 UT Mar23
24-hr: B5 1920 UT Mar23
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

3-22-10  sunspot 1056 - 

SUNSPOT SPRING: After fading away for a day, sunspot 1056 has returned and it is growing rapidly. The active region does not yet pose a threat for strong flares but this could change if its expansion continues apace. Readers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor developments.

sunspot images: from James Kevin Ty of Manila, Philippines; from John C McConnell of Maghaberry Northern Ireland; from Peter Paice of Belfast, Northern Ireland



solar blast 3-21-10

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 341.5 km/sec
density: 0.1 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2355 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B2 1815 UT Mar21

24-hr: B6 0905 UT Mar21
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2345 UT
3-21-10  - sunspot 1056 returned

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 343.7 km/sec
density: 0.0 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B2 1815 UT Mar21

24-hr: B6 0905 UT Mar21
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT
3-20-10 -  sunspot 1054 -  1056 faded away


cme - 3-21-10

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 407.2 km/sec
density: 0.4 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B7 2310 UT Mar20

24-hr: B7 2310 UT Mar20
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT
3-19-10 - sunspot 1054 -  1056

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 389.0 km/sec
density: 0.8 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2344 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A8 1835 UT Mar19

24-hr: B1 0500 UT Mar19
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

LOW-FLYING METEOR: On March 19th at 11:19 Central Time, a meteoroid entered Earth's atmosphere over the southeastern United States and disintegrated in a flash as bright as the crescent Moon. To the human eye, it appeared to be a garden-variety fireball, the kind that appears almost every clear night, but NASA cameras had a different story to tell. Scroll past the fireball snapshot for details.

"This was an unusually low-flying meteor," says Bill Cooke of NASA's Meteoroid Environment Office. Cooke and colleagues operate a pair of all-sky cameras, one in Huntsville, Alabama, and another in Chickamauga, Georgia. Both cameras caught the fireball, allowing rapid triangulation of its flight path. "It was first recorded at an altitude of 72.9 km (45.3 miles) and burned up at an altitude of 32.5 km (20.2 miles)."

That's low. Most meteoroids disintegrate around 70 to 80 km high. This one held together for a much deeper descent. "It had a lot of structural integrity. Maybe it was a metallic object," speculates Cooke. "Based on the brightness and velocity of the fireball, I estimate a mass of about 10 kilograms and a diameter of ~20 centimeters - a decent size!"

Cooke's meteor mini-network is "smart." When both cameras catch a fireball, the system's software springs into action and calculates a flight path and orbit for the meteoroid. Cooke receives an email alerting him to interesting events that might otherwise have gone unnoticed. "In the near future, we plan to expand our network along the eastern seaboard of the United States," notes Cooke. "With smart cameras on duty, who knows what we might find?"

3-18-10 - sunspot 1054

NORTHERN LIGHTS: Arctic sky watchers are waiting for the CME to hit. A coronal mass ejection that left the sun on March 14th should deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field sometime today. NOAA forcasters estimate a 30% chance of geomagnetic activity when the cloud arrives. Stay tuned for Northern Lights.

PROMINENCE, CONTINUED: For the second day in a row, astronomers are monitoring an enormous prominence rising over the northwestern limb of the sun. "Twenty-four hours after I first saw it, it is still alive and more monstrous (in a beautiful way) than ever," reports Alan Friedman, who sends this picture from his observatory in downtown Buffalo, New York:

sun prominence 3-18-10


Note sunspot 1054 in the lower right corner

The magnificent arch stretches more than 20 Earth-diameters from end to end. Our planet would easily fit through any of the "little" plasma gaps evident in Friedman's photo. The size of the prominence makes it an easy target for backyard solar telescopes, and many observers say it is a mesmerizing sight as it surges and seethes through the eyepiece. Monitoring is encouraged.

more images: from G. Harmon and J. Stetson of South Portland, Maine; from John Boyd of Santa Barbara, CA; from Rainer Ehlert of San Luis Potosi, Mexico; from Nick Howes using the Faulkes Telescope North in Hawaii

Current conditions

Solar wind
speed: 420.6 km/sec
density: 0.6 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 0915 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B3 0610 UT Mar18

24-hr: B3 0610 UT Mar18
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 0915 UT

3-17-10 sunspot 1054  Sunspot 1054 is slowly decaying, but it still has a "beta-gamma" magnetic field that harbors energy for C- and M-class solar flares. Credit: SOHO

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 474.4 km/sec
density: 1.3 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 0345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A6 2200 UT Mar16

24-hr: A8 1400 UT Mar16
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2355 UT

COMET FRAGMENTS: On March 11th, 12th and 13th no fewer than four comets plunged into the sun. Can you find all four in this movie (22 MB) from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory? Hint: The last comet is a double. These sungrazing comets are believed to be fragments of a giant comet that broke apart more than 2000 years ago.

AURORA WATCH: A solar wind stream is heading for Earth, and so is a coronal mass ejection (CME). Together, they add up to a geomagnetic storm alert for March 17th and 18th. The impact of the solar wind plus CME will brighten Arctic skies already alive with Northern Lights:

 

3-16-10 sunspot 1054

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 408.3 km/sec
density: 4.8 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2344 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A8 1755 UT Mar16

24-hr: A8 1400 UT Mar16
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT
3-15-10  sunspot 1054 

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 361.3 km/sec
density: 1.1 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B2 2150 UT Mar15

24-hr: B4 1155 UT Mar15
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

3-14-10  sunspot 1054

INCOMING: This morning, the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory recorded a halo CME emerging from the vicinity of sunspot 1054: movie. The cloud appears to be heading toward Earth and it could spark geomagnetic storms when it arrives on or about March 17th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras.

Current conditions

Solar wind
speed: 416.2 km/sec
density: 1.4 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1627 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B7 1200 UT Mar14

24-hr: C1 0000 UT Mar14
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1625 UT

COMET TOAST: The solar system has one less comet. On March 12th, the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) watched as a comet plunged into the sun and disappeared. Fierce solar heating completely destroyed the icy visitor from the outer solar system. Click on the image to see the comet's last hours:

comet-3-14-10-cmes

 

comet-crashing into the sun -3-14-10

The comet was probably a member of the Kreutz sungrazer family. Named after a 19th century German astronomer who studied them in detail,Dirk Peeters.Kreutz sungrazers are fragments from the breakup of a giant comet at least 2000 years ago. Several of these fragments pass by the sun and disintegrate every day. Most are too small to see but occasionally a big fragment--like this one--attracts attention.

UPDATE: Several readers have noticed that the doomed comet was actually a string of doomed comets, plural. Click here for a Youtube video posted by Kurt McNamara, and here for a sequence of labeled diagrams from Dirk Peeters.

3-13-10  sunspots  1054-1055

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 456.5 km/sec
density: 0.6 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 0300 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: C2 1825 UT Mar12

24-hr: C2 1825 UT Mar12
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2355 UT
3-12-10  sunspots 1054 - 1055

sungrazing comet 3-12-10
sungrazing comet - will most likely be desroyed in the sun itself
A newly-discovered comet is plunging toward the sun and probably will not survive. The encounter is too close to the sun for human eyes to see, but the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) is able to monitor the action using an opaque disk to block the sun's glare

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 529.0 km/sec
density: 0.9 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1545 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B2 1530 UT Mar12

24-hr: B2 1530 UT Mar12
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1540 UT

Solar 'Current of Fire' Speeds Up

03.12.2010

 

March 12, 2010: What in the world is the sun up to now?

In today's issue of Science, NASA solar physicist David Hathaway reports that the top of the sun's Great Conveyor Belt has been running at record-high speeds for the past five years.

"I believe this could explain the unusually deep solar minimum we've been experiencing," says Hathaway. "The high speed of the conveyor belt challenges existing models of the solar cycle and it has forced us back to the drawing board for new ideas."

The Great Conveyor Belt is a massive circulating current of fire (hot plasma) within the sun. It has two branches, north and south, each taking about 40 years to complete one circuit. Researchers believe the turning of the belt controls the sunspot cycle.

Hathaway has been monitoring the conveyor belt using data from the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO). The top of the belt skims the surface of the sun, sweeping up knots of solar magnetism and carrying them toward the poles. SOHO is able to track those knots—Hathaway calls them "magnetic elements"--and thus reveal the speed of the underlying flow.

"It's a little like measuring the speed of a river on Earth by clocking the leaves and twigs floating downstream," Hathaway explains.

SOHO's dataset extends all the way back to 1996 and spans a complete solar cycle. Last year, Lisa Rightmire, a student of Hathaway from the University of Memphis, spent the entire summer measuring magnetic elements. When she plotted their speeds vs. time, she noticed how fast the conveyor belt has been going.

A note about "fast": The Great Conveyor Belt is one of the biggest things in the whole solar system and by human standards it moves with massive slowness. "Fast" in this context means 10 to 15 meters per second (20 to 30 miles per hour). A good bicyclist could easily keep up.

Below: The velocity of the Great Conveyor Belt (a.k.a. "meridianal flow") since 1996. Note the higher speeds after ~2004. credit: Hathaway and Rightmire, 2010. [larger image]

The speed-up was surprising on two levels.

First, it coincided with the deepest solar minimum in nearly 100 years, contradicting models that say a fast-moving belt should boost sunspot production. The basic idea is that the belt sweeps up magnetic fields from the sun's surface and drags them down to the sun's inner dynamo. There the fields are amplified to form the underpinnings of new sunspots. A fast-moving belt should accelerate this process.

So where have all the sunspots been? The solar minimum of 2008-2009 was unusually deep and now the sun appears to be on the verge of a weak solar cycle.

Instead of boosting sunspots, Hathaway believes that a fast-moving Conveyor Belt can instead suppress them "by counteracting magnetic diffusion at the sun's equator." He describes the process in detail in Science ("Variations in the Sun's Meridional Flow over a Solar Cycle," 12 March 2010, v327, 1350-1352).

The second surprise has to do with the bottom of the Conveyor Belt.

SOHO can only clock the motions of the visible top layer. The bottom is hidden by ~200,000 kilometers of overlying plasma. Nevertheless, an estimate of its speed can be made by tracking sunspots.

"Sunspots are supposedly rooted to the bottom of the belt," says Hathaway. "So the motion of sunspots tells us how fast the belt is moving down there."

He's done that—plotted sunspot speeds vs. time since 1996—and the results don't make sense. "While the top of the conveyor belt has been moving at record-high speed, the bottom seems to be moving at record-low speed. Another contradiction."

Right: An artist's concept of the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO). Launched in Feb. 2010, SDO will be able to look inside the sun to study the conveyor belt in greater detail, perhaps solving the mysteries Hathaway and Rightmire have uncovered. [larger image]

Could it be that sunspots are not rooted to the bottom of the Conveyor Belt, after all? "That's one possibility" he notes. "Sunspots could be moving because of dynamo waves or some other phenomenon not directly linked to the belt."

What researchers really need is a good look deep inside the sun. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory, launched in February 2010, will provide that when its instruments come online later this year. SDO is able to map the sun's interior using a technique called helioseismology. SOHO can do the same thing, but not well enough to trace the Great Conveyor Belt all the way around. SDO's advanced sensors might reveal the complete circuit.

And then…? "It could be the missing piece we need to forecast the whole solar cycle," says Hathaway.



3-11-10 - sunspots - 1054 - 1055

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 515.7 km/sec
density: 1.3 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2341 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B3 2040 UT Mar11
24-hr: B3 2040 UT Mar11
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

AURORAS FROM SPACE: A solar wind stream is buffeting Earth's magnetic field and stirring up geomagnetic activity around the Arctic Circle. "On March 11th," reports Paul McCrone, "the DMSP F-18 weather satellite recorded a dramatic auroral event over northern Canada."

AURORA FROM SPACE - 3-11-10

McCrone processed the image at the US Navy's Fleet Numerical Meteorology and Oceanography Center in Monterey, California. It shows a broad swirl of Northern Lights stretching from Newfoundland across Quebec to the Hudson Bay. "I included an infrared image to show that this is really not a cloud," he says. Auroras are not strong sources of infrared radiation, but clouds are, so infrared images can be used to distinguish the two.

The solar wind continues to blow. High-latitude sky watchers should remain alert for auroras.

March Northern Lights Gallery
[previous Marches: 2009, 2008, 2007, 2006, 2005, 2004, 2003]

 
   
3-10-10 - no sunspos

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 439.1 km/sec
density: 2.7 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2344 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A6 2320 UT Mar10

24-hr: B1 0745 UT Mar10
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

SOLAR ERUPTION: Magnetic fields around the corpse of old sunspot 1045 erupted this morning, March 10th, at 0745 UT. SOHO's extreme ultraviolet telescope recorded the action, which you can see by clicking on the image below:

solar eruption 3-10-10

The eruption did not produce a lot of X-rays (the corresponding flare registered only B1), but it did hurl a billion-ton coronal mass ejection (CME) into space. The cloud is not aimed directly at Earth, but it could deliver a glancing blow to our planet's magnetic field on or about March 13th. High-latitude sky watchers should be alert for auroras around that date.


3-9-10  no sunspots

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 364.4 km/sec
density: 0.1 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2346 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A3 1930 UT Mar09

24-hr: A4 0850 UT Mar09
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

DARK FILAMENT: For the 4th day in a row, the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) is tracking a dark magnetic filament curling over the sun's northeastern limb. Click on the image to launch a movie recorded by the observatory's extreme ultraviolet telescope:

filimanet animation sun

The massive, plasma-filled filament has been remarkably stable since SOHO first spotted it on March 5th. However, filaments like this have been known to collapse. If this one does and hits the stellar surface, the impact could produce a powerful Hyder flare.

more images: from Robert Arnold of Isle of Skye, Scotland; from Peter Paice of Belfast, Northern Ireland; from Mike Borman of Evansville, Indiana; from David Gradwell of Near Birr Ireland; from Malcolm Park of London UK; from James Kevin Ty of Manila , Philippines; from Stephen Ames of Hodgenville, KY; from Davide Cirioni of Cilavegna, Italy; from Fabio Mariuzza of Biauzzo - Italy; from Bavais Joel of Ath, Belgium;


phobos

THE MYSTERY OF PHOBOS: Something is wrong with Phobos. The martian moon looks like a solid, but it is not as dense as a rocky solid should be. Some researchers think Phobos might be riddled with vast caverns; others say it is just a "rubble pile" masquerading as a solid body. To solve the mystery, Europe's Mars Express spacecraft is making a series of close Phobos-flybys this month. High-res photos could be available as early as this Wednesday. Stay tuned!


3-8-10     no sunspots

SOLAR FILAMENTS: Today,astronomers around the world are monitoring a pair of dark magnetic filaments on the sun. Rogerio Marcon sends this composite image from his backyard observatory in Campinas, Brasil:

sun filament - 3-8-10

The largest filament, which is curling over the sun's northeastern limb, stretches at least 50,000 km from end to end. SOHO has been monitoring the plasma-filled behemoth for more than three days: movie. How long can this filament hold itself up? If it collapses and hits the stellar surface, the impact could produce a powerful Hyder flare. Readers with solar telescopes are encouraged to monitor developments.

more images: from Robert Arnold of Isle of Skye, Scotland; from Peter Paice of Belfast, Northern Ireland; from Mike Borman of Evansville, Indiana; from David Gradwell of Near Birr Ireland; from Malcolm Park of London UK; from James Kevin Ty of Manila , Philippines; from Stephen Ames of Hodgenville, KY; from Davide Cirioni of Cilavegna, Italy; from Fabio Mariuzza of Biauzzo - Italy; from Bavais Joel of Ath, Belgium; from Alan Friedman of downtown Buffalo, NY; from Brian Woosnam of North Wales UK; from Cai-Uso Wohler of Bispingen, Germany; from S. Barube and J. Stetson of S.Portland, Maine; from Greg Piepol of Rockville, Md

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 378.0 km/sec
density: 0.7 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A4 1920 UT Mar08
24-hr: A4 1920 UT Mar08
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

3-7-10 - sunspots 1052 and 1053

QUIET SUN: All the spots on the Earth-facing side of the sun are fading away. The sun is quiet and the chance of an Earth-directed solar flare this weekend is very low.


Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 379.5 km/sec
density: 4.6 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 0027 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1 2110 UT Mar06
24-hr: B5 0800 UT Mar06
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2355 UT
3-6-10   sunspots - 1052 -1053  Sunspots are fading away

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 388.0 km/sec
density: 1.4 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2346 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1 2110 UT Mar06
24-hr: B5 0800 UT Mar06
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT
3-5-10  - sunspots  1051 - 1052 -1053

SPACE WEATHER
Current conditions
Solar wind
speed:
463.2 km/sec
density: 2.8 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1208 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B3 1800 UT Mar04

24-hr: C2 1610 UT Mar04
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2355 UT

PHOBOS FLYBY A SUCCESS:
On March 3rd, Mars Express flew past Phobos at a distance of only 67 km--the closest any spacecraft has ever been to the mysterious asteroid-moon of Mars. European Space Agency mission controllers say the spacecraft is in good health and its experiment to measure the gravity field of Phobos appears to have been a complete success. Next up: Mars Express will execute a 107 km flyby of Phobos on Sunday, March 7th, and send back high-res photos
3-4-10  - sunspots - 1051, 1052, 1053

sunspots-3-1-10

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 463.2 km/sec
density: 2.8 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1208 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B4 1755 UT Mar04

24-hr: C2 1610 UT Mar04
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

3-3-10  sunspots - sunspots  1051, 1052, 1053

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 371.5 km/sec
density: 4.0 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2342 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B1 2310 UT Mar03
24-hr: B1 2310 UT Mar03
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT



3-2-10  sunspots - 1045, 51, 52, 53

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Old sunspot 1045 still has some life left in it. On March 1st, beginning at 2245 UT, magnetic fields around the much-decayed active region erupted for more than three hours. STEREO-B had an excellent view of the blast, shown here in a snapshot through the spacecraft's extreme ultraviolet telescope

stereo-sun-animation-3-2-10

The eruption hurled a billion-ton CME away from the sun (image), but not toward Earth. The blast site is located on the sun's eastern limb where it faces away from our planet. This marks the fourth time in the past two days that a CME has billowed away from the sun without heading in our direction. Earth keeps dodging the bullet.

With solar activity on the rise, it's only a matter of time before a CME hits. And then...be alert for auroras.

Current conditions

Solar wind
speed: 430.5 km/sec
density: 4.3 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: A5 1355 UT Mar02
24-hr: B4 0000 UT Mar02
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1840 UT


3-1-10  sunspot 1051

SOLAR ERUPTIONS: The far side of the sun is alive with activity. On Feb. 28th, NASA's twin STEREO spacecraft observed one and perhaps two clouds of material blasting away from a high-latitude, site not visible from Earth. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) recorded a movie of the clouds billowing over the sun's northern limb. So far, none of this activity appears to be Earth-directed.

Current conditions
Solar wind
speed: 398.0 km/sec
density: 2.7 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 2345 UT
X-ray Solar Flares
6-hr max: B6 2305 UT Mar01
24-hr: B6 2305 UT Mar01
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 2340 UT

SPACE DATABASE ON THIS SITE

DREAMS OF THE GREAT EARTHCHANGES - MAIN INDEX